Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.210903e-04 0.000141 0.000162 0.000185 0.000211 0.000237 0.000267
2025-03-16 8.415105e-05 0.000111 0.000142 0.000178 0.000220 0.000266 0.000321
2025-03-23 6.570603e-05 0.000096 0.000132 0.000177 0.000230 0.000291 0.000364
2025-03-30 5.114796e-05 0.000082 0.000122 0.000173 0.000235 0.000308 0.000398
2025-04-06 4.066796e-05 0.000072 0.000114 0.000170 0.000241 0.000326 0.000431
2025-04-13 3.304722e-05 0.000065 0.000109 0.000169 0.000248 0.000344 0.000465
2025-04-20 2.614061e-05 0.000057 0.000102 0.000166 0.000252 0.000357 0.000493
2025-04-27 1.909845e-05 0.000048 0.000092 0.000158 0.000248 0.000360 0.000508
2025-05-04 1.499237e-05 0.000042 0.000087 0.000156 0.000251 0.000373 0.000534
2025-05-11 1.239646e-05 0.000039 0.000085 0.000157 0.000260 0.000392 0.000568
2025-05-18 1.080074e-05 0.000038 0.000085 0.000162 0.000273 0.000416 0.000609
2025-05-25 9.021531e-06 0.000035 0.000084 0.000165 0.000282 0.000436 0.000644
2025-06-01 6.777597e-06 0.000032 0.000082 0.000168 0.000296 0.000466 0.000697
2025-06-08 3.832989e-06 0.000026 0.000074 0.000162 0.000296 0.000479 0.000731
2025-06-15 2.245170e-06 0.000022 0.000070 0.000160 0.000303 0.000500 0.000775
2025-06-22 1.084693e-06 0.000018 0.000064 0.000157 0.000306 0.000515 0.000811
2025-06-29 4.509569e-07 0.000014 0.000060 0.000154 0.000310 0.000533 0.000850
2025-07-06 1.495490e-07 0.000012 0.000057 0.000154 0.000317 0.000553 0.000894
2025-07-13 1.628364e-08 0.000010 0.000053 0.000151 0.000320 0.000568 0.000929
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000007 0.000046 0.000143 0.000315 0.000571 0.000948
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000005 0.000043 0.000141 0.000319 0.000587 0.000984
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000005 0.000042 0.000142 0.000328 0.000611 0.001033
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000004 0.000042 0.000147 0.000343 0.000643 0.001092